Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 22 May 2026

Aarhus Fremad
5-0 HT 1-0
Aalborg
📅22/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.64
6+ Goals
9%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
10%
5.37
X/2
8%
6.81
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.8
2/2
19%
4.24
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarhus Fremad v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.68/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
-50% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.0 Crosses 18.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Aalborg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.15 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
412 Passes 364
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2026 Aalborg Aalborg 3-1 HT 3-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
06.03.2026 Aalborg Aalborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
29.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-1 HT 4-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1

Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
5-0
AWAY Aalborg
3.92 xG 0.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
329 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad ran out comfortable winners over Aalborg 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Aarhus Fremad made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 47% of the ball to Aalborg's 53%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.92 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.33 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg?

Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 41%, draw 23%, Aalborg 36%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →