Queensland Lions 4-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.28/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.67
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 11.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
265 Passes 315
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.03.2025 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
22.06.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 4-0 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.04.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
10.06.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
04.03.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
02.08.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions ran out comfortable winners over Sunshine Coast Wanderers 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.00 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Queensland Lions 4-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 66%, draw 20%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
22 Jun 2025
08:00 Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic FC Analysis →
10:00 St George Willawong vs WDSC Wolves Analysis →