Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒07:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.13/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.32
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 21.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-0D-5L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 440
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.02.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
06.07.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
07.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-4 HT 0-3 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
29.07.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
19.03.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
10.09.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-3
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 13
340 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki beat Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 56% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 44%, shots finished 14-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 2.67 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 34%, draw 25%, V-Varen Nagasaki 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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