V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Jul 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki
2-0 HT 2-0
Roasso Kumamoto
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.71
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.78 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Roasso Kumamoto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -14%
2.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.35
+13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
384 Passes 457
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-4 HT 0-3 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
29.07.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
19.03.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
10.09.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.03.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
04.10.2015 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2-0
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki got the better of Roasso Kumamoto 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 40% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 60%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.83 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 54%, draw 24%, Roasso Kumamoto 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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