Fasil Ketema 2-0 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 22 Jun 2026

📅22/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.6pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.92/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.94
-5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2026 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 2-3 HT 1-2 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
01.03.2025 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
29.10.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
2-0
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema got the better of Arba Minch Kenema 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and on the day Fasil Ketema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 49% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 51%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arba Minch Kenema led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fasil Ketema and 1.33 for Arba Minch Kenema.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Fasil Ketema 2-0 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 22/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 29%, draw 35%, Arba Minch Kenema 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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