22/07/2026
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Fiorentina vs Gubbio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Fiorentina win — 73% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
14%
Draw
10%
13%
Away Win
7%
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
60%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Gubbio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fiorentina
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gubbio
EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+29%
/
+110%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
466 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
257 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Fiorentina 1-0 Gubbio — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Fiorentina
1-0
AWAY
Gubbio
25
Total Shots
2
11
Shots on Target
2
12
Corners
0
POST-MATCH
Fiorentina vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fiorentina squeezed past Gubbio 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, shots finished 25-2.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Gubbio?
Fiorentina 1-0 Gubbio in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Gubbio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 73%, draw 14%, Gubbio 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fiorentina)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
22 Jul 2026