22/07/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Sassuolo vs Padova Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3
— our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
25%
Draw
22%
19%
Away Win
18%
45%
Under 2.5
40%
55%
Over 2.5
60%
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
43%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sassuolo v Padova — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sassuolo
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Padova
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
414 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Sassuolo 4-1 Padova — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Sassuolo
4-1
AWAY
Padova
9
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
4
FAQ
Sassuolo vs Padova
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Sassuolo ran out comfortable winners over Padova 4-1 in the Friendlies on 22 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.
On the day, shots finished 9-10.
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Padova?
Sassuolo 4-1 Padova in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Padova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 55%, draw 25%, Padova 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sassuolo)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
22 Jul 2026