Sestao River 0-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
71%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
5%
+4.4pp
19%
Draw
9%
+10.0pp
71%
Away Win
85%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 91%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/0.29
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
241 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 592 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.54 xG 2.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
183 Passes 407
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.12.2022 Sestao River Sestao River 0-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İSPK
11.01.2020 Sestao River Sestao River 0-4 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
0-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
3 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao got the better of Sestao River 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 3-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sestao River and 2.50 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Athletic Bilbao?

Sestao River 0-2 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 9%, draw 19%, Athletic Bilbao 71%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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