Stade Lavallois 2-1 Avranches — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Avranches EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/2.89
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / -33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
419 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avranches
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-0 Avranches Avranches HAZ
18.02.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
10.09.2021 Avranches Avranches 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
15.01.2021 Avranches Avranches 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
28.08.2020 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-3 HT 0-2 Avranches Avranches FR3
13.12.2019 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-0 HT 1-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Avranches
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Avranches 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stade Lavallois as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.83 for Avranches.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Avranches?

Stade Lavallois 2-1 Avranches in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Avranches?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 62%, draw 21%, Avranches 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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