Independiente Medellin vs Palestino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Palestino — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Palestino Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Palestino
LKU
1-1
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
LKU
Independiente Medellin 4-0 Palestino — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin cruised past Palestino 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Independiente Medellin found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 53% of the ball to Palestino's 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.79 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.33 for Palestino.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Palestino?
Independiente Medellin 4-0 Palestino in the Copa Sudamericana on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Palestino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 38%, draw 30%, Palestino 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.