Lanus vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lanus v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Lanus vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
4-0
HT 3-0
Lanus
CON CSA
Lanus 3-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
Lanus beat LDU Quito 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Lanus had 41% of the ball to LDU Quito's 59%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.20 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lanus and 2.00 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Lanus vs LDU Quito?
Lanus 3-1 LDU Quito in the Copa Sudamericana on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lanus vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lanus 47%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.