Almere City vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Almere City v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Almere City 0-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II squeezed past Almere City 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 62% to 38% in Almere City's favour, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 1.18 to 0.30 — on chances, Almere City could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Almere City against 1.33 for Willem II.
Almere City vs Willem II Result & Final Score
Almere City 0 - 1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Almere City vs Willem II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Almere City 50%, draw 24%, Willem II 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.