De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
De Graafschap v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
De Graafschap 0-1 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht shaded a tight game against De Graafschap 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our model won't enjoy this one — De Graafschap at 71% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, De Graafschap had 62% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 38%, shots finished 22-10.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 0.67 for MVV Maastricht.
De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht Result & Final Score
De Graafschap 0 - 1 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 71%, draw 16%, MVV Maastricht 13%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.