Willem II 0-2 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.91
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
9%
5.51
X/2
11%
5.67
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
20%
4.08
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.13/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.20
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.9 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Almere City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Almere City Almere City 0-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
15.01.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
21.10.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
16.05.2016 Willem II Willem II 5-2 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
13.05.2016 Almere City Almere City 0-1 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
25.04.2014 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
0-2
AWAY Almere City
0.67 xG 1.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
369 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City saw off Willem II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Almere City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Willem II had 52% of the ball to Almere City's 48%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.67 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 0.83 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Almere City?

Willem II 0-2 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Willem II 34%, draw 29%, Almere City 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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