PEC Zwolle 2-0 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Mar 2025

PEC Zwolle
2-0 HT 0-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PEC Zwolle vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.79
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
15%
7.4
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
6%
22.9
2/2
13%
5.07
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.53/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
-21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
22.1 Crosses 20.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

PEC Zwolle vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-4D-1L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 1.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
400 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
12.05.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
25.11.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
23.04.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
27.11.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.02.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

PEC Zwolle 2-0 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
2-0
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.58 xG 0.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
446 Passes 240
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
46 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle got the better of RKC Waalwijk 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PEC Zwolle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 61% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 39%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.58 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PEC Zwolle and 0.83 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs RKC Waalwijk?

PEC Zwolle 2-0 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 41%, draw 24%, RKC Waalwijk 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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