Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.47
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
12%
6.08
X/2
10%
5.18
X/X
11%
4.33
2/1
10%
33.5
2/2
21%
3.49
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.12
-31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
22.0 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
281 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
30.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
13.01.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
29.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
16.04.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-3
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.48 xG 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
376 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam cruised past Fortuna Sittard 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sparta Rotterdam found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 58% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 42%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.48 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.67 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 34%, draw 28%, Sparta Rotterdam 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Under 2.5
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