Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.39
No
33%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
26%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.9pp
33%
BTTS No
32%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 38%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.51/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.94
+2% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Panevezys II Panevezys II 4-2 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
06.10.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
20.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
27.10.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
08.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-4 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-0
AWAY Panevezys II
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II saw off Panevezys II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 66% of the ball to Panevezys II's 34%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.60 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Panevezys II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 44%, draw 23%, Panevezys II 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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