Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 18%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.05/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.63
+41% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mosta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Mosta Mosta 0-1 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MALTP
21.12.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
16.08.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
30.03.2024 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAK
10.02.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
27.09.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Mosta
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta squeezed past Sliema Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sliema Wanderers at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 57% of the ball to Mosta's 43%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 0.50 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta?

Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 57%, draw 25%, Mosta 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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