Forward Madison 0-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.66
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.8 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.85 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
464 Passes 421
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.11.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
22.09.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
20.05.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-3 HT 0-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
0-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.81 xG 0.70
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
423 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 7
41 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity squeezed past Forward Madison 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Spokane Velocity found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forward Madison had 60% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 40%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.81 to 0.70 — on chances, Forward Madison could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forward Madison and 0.50 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?

Forward Madison 0-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 33%, draw 32%, Spokane Velocity 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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