Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.49 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
276 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2026 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-0 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
23.08.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-0 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
09.02.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
04.08.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
PREVIEW Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Korona Kielce edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Korona Kielce's last 5 home league games, and results have deserted Motor Lublin on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 4 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce have the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Korona Kielce against 0.75 for Motor Lublin.

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Kick-off Time

Korona Kielce play Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/08/2026, kick-off 15:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin is a Korona Kielce win at about 49% probability, priced 1.92 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Korona Kielce 49%, draw 23%, Motor Lublin 28%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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