Motor Lublin 2-0 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Feb 2026

Motor Lublin
2-0 HT 2-0
Korona Kielce
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.64
No
42%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.35
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.18
6+
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.09
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
12%
12.25
X/1
19%
5.18
X/2
13%
6.64
X/X
8%
4.69
2/1 ✗
10%
24.8
2/2
14%
4.55
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Motor Lublin v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Motor Lublin The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
1.52 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.26
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.4 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-0 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
09.02.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
04.08.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Motor Lublin 2-0 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
2-0
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.46 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
274 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 39
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Motor Lublin took care of Korona Kielce 2-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 27% / 34%); Motor Lublin picked one for it. The one blemish: both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Motor Lublin had 49% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 51%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.46 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Motor Lublin and 1.33 for Korona Kielce.

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Result & Final Score

Motor Lublin 2-0 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 39%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motor Lublin) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ BTTS Yes
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