Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.59
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.6
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.03
6+
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.37
X/2
12%
6.18
X/X
9%
5.01
2/1
12%
24.8
2/2
10%
4.06
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Pogon Szczecin The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz The Market 37%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.88 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.30
1.28 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.22
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.3 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.00 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
383 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POLK
22.08.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
22.02.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-4 HT 0-2 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
17.08.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.12.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
30.07.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1-0
AWAY Widzew Lodz
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
REVIEW Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Lodz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pogon Szczecin nicked a narrow win over Widzew Lodz 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Widzew Lodz saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 7-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Pogon Szczecin against 0.67 for Widzew Lodz.

Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Lodz Result & Final Score

Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Lodz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 26%, Widzew Lodz 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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