Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.56/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.25
-6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.5 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 0.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
257 Passes 355
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 HT 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1-0
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.54 xG 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
377 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu squeezed past Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 56% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 44%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 28%, draw 29%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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