Getafe 1-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.33
Over 2.5
34%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
15%
8.51
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.9
X/1
12%
3.89
X/2
11%
8.49
X/X
18%
2.97
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
8.21
2/X
8%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.0pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
72%
-5.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
28%
+5.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.26/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +60%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.7 Crosses 16.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leganes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
175 Passes 260
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 Leganes Leganes HAZ
16.07.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-0 Getafe Getafe HAZ
17.01.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-3 HT 0-3 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.10.2019 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
30.03.2019 Getafe Getafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
07.12.2018 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-1
AWAY Leganes
1.54 xG 0.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
310 Passes 186
74% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe and Leganes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Getafe had 59% of the ball to Leganes's 41%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.54 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Getafe and 0.83 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Leganes?

Getafe 1-1 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Getafe 37%, draw 33%, Leganes 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Getafe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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