Keflavik 2-3 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.18/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.03
-9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-0D-1L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-4 HT 1-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
18.07.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
03.05.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 1-2 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
2-3
AWAY IR Reykjavik
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik squeezed past Keflavik 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Keflavik had 47% of the ball to IR Reykjavik's 53%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Keflavik and 1.00 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik?

Keflavik 2-3 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 54%, draw 22%, IR Reykjavik 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →