Fram Reykjavik 2-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.82/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.85
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.4 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fylkir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.07.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
05.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 2-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
09.02.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
07.10.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 5-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
08.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
14.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2-0
AWAY Fylkir
0.15 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 13
298 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 40
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik saw off Fylkir 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 47% of the ball to Fylkir's 53%, shots finished 3-22, expected goals 0.15 to 1.67 — on chances, Fylkir could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.00 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Fram Reykjavik 2-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 54%, draw 21%, Fylkir 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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