KR Reykjavik 2-2 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.63
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.49/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.42
-34% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
26.7 Crosses 25.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vestri
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.21 xG 1.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
440 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Vestri Vestri 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
25.05.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
26.02.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
20.02.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 5-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-2
AWAY Vestri
1.01 xG 0.86
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
379 Passes 155
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Vestri shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 66% of the ball to Vestri's 34%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.01 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.50 for Vestri.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Vestri?

KR Reykjavik 2-2 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 47%, draw 26%, Vestri 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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