Defensa y Justicia 0-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Defensa y Justicia
0-0 HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.59
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
13%
5.09
X/2
11%
5.4
X/X
16%
3.24
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.45
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-0.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +22%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.90
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.0 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
340 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
24.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJK
12.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
08.05.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
06.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
22.02.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 3-4 HT 0-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 0-0 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.69 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
234 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia and San Lorenzo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 44% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.69 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo?

Defensa y Justicia 0-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 37%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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