Instituto Cordoba 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No OUR CALL
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.7
X/1
14%
3.35
X/2
6%
13.6
X/X
15%
5.19
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
12.25
2/X
6%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.49
+44% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
23.6 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Barracas Central
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.87 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
287 Passes 213
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Barracas Central Barracas Central 3-2 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
14.11.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
05.05.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 3-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
26.09.2021 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBN
15.05.2021 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
430 Passes 177
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central squeezed past Instituto Cordoba 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Instituto Cordoba at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 66% of the ball to Barracas Central's 34%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.40 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Barracas Central?

Instituto Cordoba 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 51%, draw 27%, Barracas Central 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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