Independiente 0-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.44
No
69%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
11%
7.59
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
16%
4.27
X/2
9%
6.39
X/X
21%
3.15
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.85
2/X
9%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 75%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.7pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.2pp
69%
BTTS No
63%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.19
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.2 Crosses 20.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 385
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
08.10.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.05.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
17.06.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
19.07.2021 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
29.12.2020 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
0-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.69 xG 0.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
318 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and Argentinos Juniors played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 36% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Independiente had 50% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 50%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.69 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente and 0.83 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Argentinos Juniors?

Independiente 0-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente 39%, draw 36%, Argentinos Juniors 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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