Dnepr Mogilev vs Smorgon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dnepr Mogilev v Smorgon — Team-Based Signals
Dnepr Mogilev vs Smorgon Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Dnepr Mogilev
BLRK
Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Smorgon — Actual Match Statistics
Dnepr Mogilev edged past Smorgon 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Mogilev as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 38% of the ball to Smorgon's 62%, shots finished 10-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dnepr Mogilev had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 0.00 for Smorgon.
What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Smorgon?
Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Smorgon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 44%, draw 28%, Smorgon 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.