Isloch Minsk 1-2 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.34
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.02/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.15
-18% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 1-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
20.05.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
20.10.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
18.06.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-1 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
28.08.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-2 HT 0-2 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
23.05.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
1-2
AWAY BATE Borisov
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov edged past Isloch Minsk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day BATE Borisov made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 49% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 51%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Isloch Minsk and 1.00 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Isloch Minsk 1-2 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 38%, draw 30%, BATE Borisov 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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