22/09/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-0
ASEC vs ASC Kara Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
ASEC win — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
58%
Home Win
70%
22%
Draw
18%
20%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ASEC v ASC Kara — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ASEC
The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
ASC Kara
The Market 16%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
1.41/0.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
-30%
/
+92%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+130%
/
-11%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
403 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 73%
27.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
26.1
Crosses
–
0.4
Yellow Cards
1.0
ASEC vs ASC Kara Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
ASEC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
ASC Kara
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
3
0
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
ASEC vs ASC Kara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ASEC beat ASC Kara 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ASEC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
What was the final score of ASEC vs ASC Kara?
ASEC 2-0 ASC Kara in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ASEC vs ASC Kara?
Before kick-off our model rated a ASEC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ASEC 58%, draw 22%, ASC Kara 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASEC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (ASEC)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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22 Sep 2024