Almere City 0-5 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 22 Sep 2024

Almere City
0-5 HT 0-2
Twente
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Almere City vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
49%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.85
1/X
5%
16.55
X/1
11%
11.55
X/2
11%
3.86
X/X
11%
6.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.9
2/X
7%
16.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
60%
-11.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.88
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
15.5 Crosses 18.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Almere City vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Twente
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.43 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
13.08.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-4 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
26.01.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL2
26.10.2018 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Almere City 0-5 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
0-5
AWAY Twente
2.40 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
257 Passes 444
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 30
30 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente swept aside Almere City 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Almere City had 40% of the ball to Twente's 60%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.40 to 1.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Almere City.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Almere City and 2.75 for Twente.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Twente?

Almere City 0-5 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almere City 28%, draw 23%, Twente 49%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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