Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
29%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.58/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.15
+20% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
9.0 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 411
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
07.07.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
18.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
14.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
13.08.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
01.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-1
AWAY Pacific FC
1.12 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
379 Passes 322
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and Pacific FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 54% of the ball to Pacific FC's 46%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.67 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC?

Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 44%, draw 25%, Pacific FC 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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