Warrington Town 2-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.82
Over
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.2
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.67
6+
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.54/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.77
+20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +59%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 32
1 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
2-0
AWAY Hereford FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town beat Hereford FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Warrington Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 48% of the ball to Hereford FC's 52%, shots finished 12-18.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Hereford FC?

Warrington Town 2-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 35%, draw 28%, Hereford FC 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hereford FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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