Crawley Town vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Lincoln City
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
3-1
HT 1-0
Lincoln City
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
Crawley Town 3-0 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town swept aside Lincoln City 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lincoln City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 45% of the ball to Lincoln City's 55%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crawley Town and 1.00 for Lincoln City.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Lincoln City?
Crawley Town 3-0 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 33%, draw 23%, Lincoln City 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lincoln City) went the other way.