Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
13%
6.25
X/X
12%
3.84
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.82
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.15/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.07
+1% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 66%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.6 Crosses 23.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
25.05.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 2-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
01.02.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
26.10.2013 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
30.12.2006 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
23.09.2006 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-3 HT 1-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
0.95 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
203 Passes 177
66% Pass Accuracy 61%
13 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient squeezed past Rotherham United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 51% of the ball to Rotherham United's 49%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.80 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Rotherham United?

Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 37%, draw 29%, Rotherham United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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