Wigan Athletic 1-2 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 35% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.95
X/2
13%
5.93
X/X
12%
4.27
2/1
13%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.36
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.2pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.04/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.48
-16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
297 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 69%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.8 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mansfield Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
28.01.2003 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
13.08.2002 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-2 HT 2-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-2
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.76 xG 0.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
510 Passes 240
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town nicked a narrow win over Wigan Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 65% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 35%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.76 to 0.26 — on chances, Wigan Athletic could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.50 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Wigan Athletic 1-2 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 42%, draw 28%, Mansfield Town 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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