Genk U19 3-1 CSKA Sofia U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.79
2-3 Goals
37%
2.27
4-5 Goals
26%
2.4
6+ Goals
16%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.13
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
16%
3.44
X/2
12%
34.5
X/X
9%
17.15
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
85%
-25.0pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.7pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+15.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk U19 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia U19 EU Bookmakers 9%
-85% / -85% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
505 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk U19
3-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia U19
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Genk U19 vs CSKA Sofia U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk U19 got the better of CSKA Sofia U19 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk U19 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Genk U19 had 72% of the ball to CSKA Sofia U19's 28%, shots finished 22-3.

What was the final score of Genk U19 vs CSKA Sofia U19?

Genk U19 3-1 CSKA Sofia U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk U19 vs CSKA Sofia U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Genk U19 60%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia U19 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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