Sturm Graz U19 1-3 Sporting CP U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.29
Over Pick
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.83
2-3
47%
1.93
4-5
21%
2.8
6+
9%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
33%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz U19 The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U19 The Market 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz U19
1-3
AWAY Sporting CP U19
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz U19 vs Sporting CP U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 got the better of Sturm Graz U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sturm Graz U19 had 47% of the ball to Sporting CP U19's 53%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Sturm Graz U19 1-3 Sporting CP U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz U19 32%, draw 24%, Sporting CP U19 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U19) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U19)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
22 Oct 2024
14:00 Monaco U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19 Analysis →
15:00 Arsenal U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 Analysis →
15:00 Milan U19 vs Club Brugge U19 Analysis →
15:00 Aston Villa U19 vs Bologna U19 Analysis →
15:30 Paris SG U19 vs PSV U19 Analysis →
16:00 Juventus U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19 Analysis →