Al Ahly 2-1 Sakandary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
69%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakandary EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.80/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.62
+34% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.3 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sakandary
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.46 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
18.06.2024 Sakandary Sakandary 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
07.05.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 3-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
08.07.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 2-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
07.08.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-1
AWAY Sakandary
1.23 xG 1.48
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
402 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Sakandary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly edged past Sakandary 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 63% of the ball to Sakandary's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.23 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahly and 0.33 for Sakandary.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Sakandary?

Al Ahly 2-1 Sakandary in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Sakandary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 70%, draw 19%, Sakandary 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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