Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Istra 1961 v Slaven Belupo — Team-Based Signals
Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
2-2
HT 2-1
Istra 1961
HIR
1-1
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
Istra 1961 2-3 Slaven Belupo — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo edged past Istra 1961 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Istra 1961 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Istra 1961 had 48% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 52%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.52 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slaven Belupo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.67 for Slaven Belupo.
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 2-3 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 46%, draw 29%, Slaven Belupo 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.