Hamilton 3-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-3.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.5pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 15%
-22% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.94/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.36
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +55%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-4 HT 0-3 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
02.03.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-5 HT 0-3 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
23.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
25.11.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKK
12.08.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton got the better of Kelty Hearts 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Hamilton and 0.60 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Kelty Hearts?

Hamilton 3-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 67%, draw 18%, Kelty Hearts 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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