Peterhead 1-4 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.09
+30% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.09.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-1 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
26.07.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
23.03.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
27.01.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 2-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
14.11.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
12.08.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir cruised past Peterhead 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Peterhead at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Peterhead and 1.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Stenhousemuir?

Peterhead 1-4 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 42%, draw 30%, Stenhousemuir 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterhead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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