Dundee United 0-3 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.74
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.91
X/2
12%
7.54
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.1
2/2
10%
5.31
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.78/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.18
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.6 Crosses 22.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 2.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
298 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
13.07.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
17.11.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 4-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKCK
25.07.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
27.04.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
23.02.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
0-3
AWAY Falkirk
0.74 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
216 Passes 336
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk swept aside Dundee United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dundee United had 43% of the ball to Falkirk's 57%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.74 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee United and 1.50 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Dundee United 0-3 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 47%, draw 26%, Falkirk 27%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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