Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 1-3 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell beat Kilmarnock 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 41% of the ball to Motherwell's 59%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.73 to 2.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.17 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Kilmarnock 1-3 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 32%, draw 25%, Motherwell 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.