St. Mirren vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Celtic — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 0-1 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic squeezed past St. Mirren 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, St. Mirren had 27% of the ball to Celtic's 73%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.53 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Mirren.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Mirren and 2.67 for Celtic.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Celtic?
St. Mirren 0-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Celtic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 16%, draw 18%, Celtic 66%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.