Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.48
2-3
48%
1.76
4-5
16%
4.62
6+
3%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.92
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.54
X/2
13%
5.89
X/X
22%
3.81
2/1
2%
33.5
2/2
18%
4.31
2/X
5%
13.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Alaves The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo The Market 37%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 435
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
16.08.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
27.04.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 3-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
28.09.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
07.05.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
27.11.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-2 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0 - 1
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.41 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
432 Passes 413
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celta Vigo found just enough to beat Deportivo Alaves 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

From a near-even 35% / 32% / 32% read, it was Celta Vigo who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Deportivo Alaves had 52% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 48%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.41 to 1.37.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.67 for Celta Vigo.

Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Result & Final Score

Deportivo Alaves 0 - 1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 35%, draw 32%, Celta Vigo 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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