Athletic Carpi 2-1 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.05
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 28%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
0.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.26
-65% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rimini
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Rimini Rimini 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
26.08.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 2-2 HT 0-1 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
2-1
AWAY Rimini
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi nicked a narrow win over Rimini 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Carpi as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 31% of the ball to Rimini's 69%, shots finished 6-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Athletic Carpi and 1.00 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Rimini?

Athletic Carpi 2-1 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 42%, draw 31%, Rimini 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Carpi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
22 Nov 2025
16:30 AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane Analysis →
16:30 Pro Vercelli vs Alcione Analysis →
16:30 Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana Analysis →
16:30 SSC Giugliano vs Casarano Analysis →
16:30 Siracusa vs Team Altamura Analysis →
16:30 Trapani 1905 vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →